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Virginia Senate: Warner 61% Gilmore 36%

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At this point, the Virginia Senate Race is all over except for the vote-counting:

The only real question in the Virginia Senate race seems to be whether Democratic candidate Mark Warner will have coattails enough to help swing the state into Barack Obama’s column on Election Day.

In the battle between ex-governors, Warner leads Republican Jim Gilmore 61% to 36% in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in Virginia. In late September, Warner had a 60% to 34% lead.

The two men are running for the seat being vacated by the retirement of longtime Republican Senator John Warner (no relation to the Democratic candidate).

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Gilmore has the support of 78% of Virginia Republicans, but Warner has the backing of nearly one-out-of-five GOP voters (19%). Ninety-seven percent (97%) of Democrats support their party’s candidate. Unaffiliated voters favor Warner nearly three-to-one.

The Democrat has a 15-point lead among men and a 33-point lead among women.

Warner is viewed favorably by 68% and unfavorably by 29%. Gilmore is regarded favorably by 48% and unfavorably by 43%. Thirty-nine percent (39%) have a Very Favorable view of Warner, compared to 14% who feel that way about his Republican opponent.

Given the relative non-movement in the polls in this race over the past year, I’m wondering if any candidate would have been able to beat Mark Warner.

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